Sending out a message to political parties on how to strategize for the Lok Sabha elections 2019, today’s bypolls results will be a key indicator of the voters’ mood. All eyes are on Uttar Pradesh’s Kairana seat because BJP suffered setbacks recently in Phoolpur and Gorakhpur seats, and that is being seen as a test for Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
1. Politics is played here on Jat-Muslim and Jat-Gujjar rivalries. In Kairana, late Gujjar leader Hukum Singh’s daughter and BJP’s nominee Mriganka is trailing behind Tabassum Hasan of Rashtriya Lok Dal, (RLD), who is backed by SP, BSP, and Congress, by over 41,000 votes after nine rounds of counting.
2. Repolling was held at 73 polling stations, as there were allegations of EVM tampering on polling day. Uttar Pradesh sends out the maximum number of parliamentarians, Kairana’s results will hold a national message – whether a united opposition versus BJP will be possible and feasible in 2019 or not.
3. BJP’s Rajendra Gavit, In Palghar constituency, who defected from Congress, is ahead by over 10,000 votes. Shiv Sena has fielded Shriniwas Wanga, son of late BJP MP Chintaman Wanga, further straining its ties with BJP.
4. It is a direct fight in Bhandara-Gondiya, between NCP’s Madhukar Kukde and BJP’s Hemant Patle. NCP has the support of the Congress. Election in the seat was necessitated after the resignation of sitting BJP (MP) Nana Patole over his criticism of the PM. Patole later joined the Congress.
5. Nagaland show Latest trends of Naga People’s Front (NPF) leading by over 11,000 votes. NPF nominee has Congress’s support. The lone LS seat fell vacant after Neiphiu Rio became CM. Rio’s People’s Democratic Alliance, which includes BJP, has fielded Tokheho Yepthomi.
6. Bye-elections in Jokihat was necessitated after the resignation of JD-U’s Sarfaraz Alam. At Jokihat in Bihar, among the six Assembly seats, RJD has trounced JD(U) by a margin of 40000 votes. CM Nitish Kumar is hoping his minority welfare schemes will sway the Muslim and Yadav vote towards JD(U).
7. The fight is between SAD and Congress, in Shahkot Assembly seat in Punjab. After eight rounds of counting Congress’s Hardev Singh Laddi Sherowali is leading by 18,000 votes.
8. In West Bengal’s Maheshtala, the ruling Trinamool Congress is leading by at least 21,000 votes. BJP takes lead in Jharkhand’s Gomia by 7,174 votes in the sixth round of counting. The BJP is at second position followed by the Left-Congress combine.
9. In Karnataka, Rajarajeshwari Nagar assembly constituency, Congress candidate Munirathna is leading by around 32,000 votes after the sixth round of counting.
10. In Kerala’s Chengannur, CPM candidate Saji Cherian is leading by over 5,000 votes, which has been with Congress since 1980. Kerala remains one of the last bastions for the Left after it was ousted in Tripura. The Congress and BJP are in a tough race for second place.